Scottish election polls latest: Disappointment looms for Sturgeon as no majority forecast


Alongside the SNP’s regional list vote of 38 percent, which is three percentage points lower than the result five years ago, the SNP would return a total of 63 MSPs – two short of the majority needed to take the election.

Concerning other parties, the poll shows the Scottish Conservatives have one of their strongest showings of late with 25 percent of the constituency vote and 23 percent of the regional list.

If this manifests, it would see Douglas Ross’s party return a total of 32 MSPs in May – one higher than their surprise result in 2016 and enough to keep them as the main opposition to the SNP.

For Labour, the public support for leader Anas Sarwar has yet to translate into the polls, with the party remaining at 20 percent on the constituency and just 17 percent on the regional list, a remarkably low result for the former dominant force in Scottish politics.

This result would see Labour securing 17 seats, down three from 2016.



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