Scottish election poll: SNP win likely, but is Nicola Sturgeon counting on a win too soon?


The latest poll published by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman found the SNP is likely to win 64 seats, which is one shy of the required for an overall majority.

The poll surveyed 1,007 Scottish adults from April 2 to 7, and forecasted the SNP to win 49 percent of constituency voting intentions.

By comparison, 23 percent would support Conservatives, 18 percent backing Labour, six percent supporting Liberal Democrats and three percent voting for other parties.

The Savanta poll is the first recent poll to suggest the SNP would not win an overall majority with other polls indicating a majority is likely for Ms Sturgeon’s party.

According to the poll, the pro-independence and anti-independence camps would win 45 percent of voting intention, with nine percent of vote share undecided.



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